Sentiment indicators
Looking at short interests on SP500 is always of great interest: the total short interest of all stocks (on SP500) is about 10% (in per cent of the total float of those stocks)… ok, it was 7% at the beginning of the month!
This measure is certainly more complicated to track but also more relevant than the standard Call/Put ratio or VIX (or VXN) sentiment indicators…
As usual, we must focus on the trend: investors are booking short position on the “long” run. OK the stock market is gloomy, but for short term targets, the extremes are more interesting: we have found a decisive increase of the short term interests in only 3 weeks! This is a good contrarian sign that the rebound can take over… see also the previous post today.
April 22nd, 2008 at 10:03 am
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